Affective forecasting under uncertainty
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Affective forecasting denotes the ability to predict one’s own future emotions. Past research indicates that the predictions are generally not precise and people either overestimate or underestimate their emotions. People act mindlessly to a plausible message that deliver minimal amount of information, regardless of the form or meaning. In this study, it was hypothesised that “uncertainty” represented by a less plausible message, elicits mindfulness and prolongs happiness; while “certainty” posed as a more plausible message induces mindlessness and decreases happiness. These hypotheses were tested with 2 repeated measure experiments of forecasting and experiencing and 1 forecasting only experiment. Most of the results were not consistent with previous findings, and participants’ responses were subjected to the influences of uncontrollable outside factors.